Despite avoiding defeat in their last three home games, Lillestrom had failed to notch maximum points in their preceding five home matches, suggesting the abnormality of the ongoing undefeated sequence. Regardless, Molde's seeming prioritisation of the Europa League could mean that run extends to four without losing on Sunday with both sides sharing the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Molde had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.08%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Molde win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Lillestrom	Draw	Molde
41.09% ( 0.41)	23.61% ( -0.01)	35.29% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 62.66% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.79% (

-0.04)

39.21% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.46% (

-0.03)

61.54% (

0.03)

Lillestrom Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.57% (

0.17)

19.43% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.74% (

0.28)

51.26% (

-0.28)

Molde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.77% (

-0.23)

22.23% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.34% (

-0.34)

55.66% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Lillestrom 41.09%

Molde 35.29%

Draw 23.61%

Lillestrom	Draw	Molde
2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.28% Total : 41.09%	1-1 @ 10.64% 2-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.61%	1-2 @ 8% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.51% Total : 35.29%

How you voted: Lillestrom vs Molde

Lillestrom

42.0%

Draw

28.0%

Molde

30.0%

Head to Head

Jul 7, 2024 4pm

Gameweek 13

Molde

3-0

Lillestrom

Eriksen (13'), Christiansen (24' og.), Fjortoft Lovik (67')
Amundsen (51'), Daehli (76')

Lucky (64')

> Preview

Nov 12, 2023 6.15pm

Gameweek 28

Molde

4-0

Lillestrom

Gabrielsen (4' og.), Berisha (11', 23'), Hestad (89')

Skogvold (56')

Apr 23, 2023 6.15pm

Gameweek 3

Lillestrom

2-1

Molde

Tonnessen (5'), Adams (37')

Breivik (35')

Oct 16, 2022 6pm

Gameweek 26

Lillestrom

0-1

Molde

Hussain (90+6')

Apr 18, 2022 5pm

Gameweek 3

Molde

1-2

Lillestrom

Haugen (79')
Haugan (55'), Hussain (85')

Ogbu (19'), Fridjonsson (90+8')
Edh (30'), Asen (71')

Form Guide

Kristiansund 2-1 Lillestrom

Lillestrom 2-2 Sarpsborg

Lillestrom 3-1 Stromsgodset

Molde 3-0 Lillestrom

Lillestrom 2-1 KFUM

Tromso 1-2 Lillestrom

Molde 3-0 Cercle Brugge

Fredrikstad 0-0 Molde

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