Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 76.34%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Aalesund had a probability of 9.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.83%), while for an Aalesund win it was 1-2 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosenborg would win this match.