MX23RW : Sunday, March 16 11:50:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 21, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Waalwijk logo

Ajax
4 - 1
RKC Waalwijk

Brobbey (9', 35'), Hlynsson (64'), Berghuis (87')
Tahirovic (38')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kramer (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 2-3 Ajax
Sunday, January 14 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-2 Heracles
Friday, January 12 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 3-0 RKC Waalwijk

Ajax finally appear to have hit their stride this season, and with momentum growing they should have far too much for a struggling RKC Waalwijk side on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 68.66%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 14.61%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 3-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawRKC Waalwijk
68.66% (-0.032999999999987 -0.03) 16.73% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 14.61% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
Both teams to score 62.99% (-0.204 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.12% (-0.23700000000001 -0.24)27.88% (0.234 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.4% (-0.293 -0.29)48.59% (0.292 0.29)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.56% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)7.44% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.23% (-0.169 -0.17)26.76% (0.167 0.17)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.05% (-0.175 -0.17)31.95% (0.173 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.6% (-0.197 -0.2)68.4% (0.19499999999999 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 68.66%
    RKC Waalwijk 14.61%
    Draw 16.73%
AjaxDrawRKC Waalwijk
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.02% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 7.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 6.95% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.18% (0.067 0.07)
4-1 @ 5.15% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.52% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 2.94% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.68% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.35% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.53% (-0.018 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.12% (-0.015 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 68.66%
1-1 @ 7.05% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.38% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 16.73%
1-2 @ 4.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 2.71% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.55% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 14.61%

How you voted: Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk

Ajax
Draw
RKC Waalwijk
Ajax
100%
Draw
0.0%
RKC Waalwijk
0.0%
14
Head to Head
Dec 6, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 7
RKC Waalwijk
2-3
Ajax
Kramer (37'), Oukili (51')
Meijers (42'), Oukili (87')
Brobbey (30'), Bergwijn (43' pen.), Berghuis (57')
Feb 12, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 21
Ajax
3-1
RKC Waalwijk
Brobbey (50'), Maduro (78'), Kudus (81')
Seuntjens (17')
Oct 22, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 11
RKC Waalwijk
1-4
Ajax
Clement (40')
Berghuis (22', 53'), Brobbey (62', 81')
Mar 6, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 22
Ajax
3-2
RKC Waalwijk
Haller (33', 37'), Tadic (90' pen.)
Martinez (15'), Rensch (53'), Tadic (90+3')
Kramer (50'), Van der Venne (57')
Anita (90+2')
Nov 21, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 12
RKC Waalwijk
0-5
Ajax

Gaari (85')
Haller (17', 83'), Berghuis (42', 57'), Maduro (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax25203253183563
2PSV EindhovenPSV26184478304858
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2614754639749
4FC Twente25137550311946
5Feyenoord24128448272144
6AZ AlkmaarAZ24134740241643
7Go Ahead Eagles2512584640641
8Fortuna SittardSittard2595113242-1032
9Heerenveen2687113246-1431
10NECNijmegen2685133737029
11NAC BredaNAC Breda2685132844-1629
12Groningen2477102333-1028
13Heracles26610103347-1428
14PEC Zwolle2668123041-1126
15Sparta RotterdamSparta26510112535-1025
16Willem II2566132841-1324
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2545163252-2017
18Almere CityAlmere City2636171650-3415


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