Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 21, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Ajax4 - 1RKC Waalwijk
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 2-3 Ajax
Sunday, January 14 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, January 14 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-2 Heracles
Friday, January 12 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Friday, January 12 at 7pm in Eredivisie
We said: Ajax 3-0 RKC Waalwijk
Ajax finally appear to have hit their stride this season, and with momentum growing they should have far too much for a struggling RKC Waalwijk side on home turf. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 68.66%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 14.61%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 3-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
68.66% ( -0.03) | 16.73% ( 0.04) | 14.61% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 62.99% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.12% ( -0.24) | 27.88% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.4% ( -0.29) | 48.59% ( 0.29) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.56% ( -0.06) | 7.44% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 73.23% ( -0.17) | 26.76% ( 0.17) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.05% ( -0.17) | 31.95% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.6% ( -0.2) | 68.4% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
Ajax 68.66%
RKC Waalwijk 14.61%
Draw 16.73%
| Ajax | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 7.93% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 4.51% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.46% Total : 68.66% | 1-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.36% Total : 16.73% | 1-2 @ 4.02% ( 0) 0-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 14.61% |
How you voted: Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk
Ajax
100%Draw
0.0%RKC Waalwijk
0.0%14
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2023 3.45pm
Oct 22, 2022 5.45pm
Mar 6, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 22
Ajax
3-2
RKC Waalwijk
Nov 21, 2021 3.45pm
Form Guide
