MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 00:05:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Sportpark De Weeren
Ajax

Nijmegen
1 - 2
Ajax

Tavsan (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hlynsson (57'), Borges (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions
Last Game: Nijmegen 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, November 26 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Ajax

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Marseille 4-3 Ajax
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: NEC 1-4 Ajax

 Given the consistency that NEC have shown in avoiding defeat of late, this may not be one-way traffic. Nevertheless, Ajax have started to score a hatful of goals and we can only see the visitors ultimately prevailing by a wide margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.63%) and 3-2 (5.07%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
NECDrawAjax
45.49% (3.844 3.84) 20.77% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 33.74% (-3.83 -3.83)
Both teams to score 73.28% (-0.994 -0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.73% (-0.89200000000001 -0.89)25.27% (0.891 0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.73% (-1.168 -1.17)45.27% (1.166 1.17)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.78% (0.872 0.87)12.21% (-0.874 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.1% (1.803 1.8)37.9% (-1.803 -1.8)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.47% (-1.984 -1.98)16.52% (1.983 1.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.73% (-3.695 -3.7)46.27% (3.694 3.69)
Score Analysis
    NEC 45.49%
    Ajax 33.74%
    Draw 20.77%
NECDrawAjax
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.445 0.45)
3-1 @ 5.63% (0.487 0.49)
3-2 @ 5.07% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 4.46% (0.527 0.53)
1-0 @ 4.24% (0.374 0.37)
3-0 @ 3.13% (0.459 0.46)
4-1 @ 2.96% (0.345 0.35)
4-2 @ 2.66% (0.143 0.14)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.287 0.29)
4-3 @ 1.6% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.24% (0.181 0.18)
5-2 @ 1.12% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 45.49%
1-1 @ 7.64% (0.178 0.18)
2-2 @ 7.23% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-3 @ 3.04% (-0.146 -0.15)
0-0 @ 2.02% (0.115 0.12)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 20.77%
1-2 @ 6.88% (-0.317 -0.32)
2-3 @ 4.34% (-0.362 -0.36)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.496 -0.5)
0-1 @ 3.63% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.27% (-0.267 -0.27)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.311 -0.31)
2-4 @ 1.95% (-0.313 -0.31)
1-4 @ 1.86% (-0.371 -0.37)
3-4 @ 1.37% (-0.167 -0.17)
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 33.74%

Head to Head
Mar 5, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 24
Ajax
1-0
Nijmegen
Kudus (52')
> Preview
Jan 8, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 15
Nijmegen
1-1
Ajax
Dimata (52')
Klaassen (38')
> Preview
Apr 23, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 27
Nijmegen
0-1
Ajax

Schone (55'), Guth (59')
Brobbey (88')
Blind (53')
> Preview
Aug 14, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 1
Ajax
5-0
Nijmegen
Haller (5'), Mazraoui (9'), Van Rooij (13' og.), Tadic (19', 38')
> Preview
Apr 8, 2017 6.45pm
Nijmegen
1-5
Ajax
Kadioglu (54')
Breinburg (5' og.), Neres (8'), Traore (32', 60'), Ziyech (78')
van de Beek (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV18151261154646
2Ajax18133239172242
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1812333629739
4Feyenoord18105341231835
5FC Twente18104438231534
6AZ AlkmaarAZ18103533191433
7Go Ahead Eagles188463327628
8Fortuna SittardSittard187472528-325
9Heerenveen187382133-1224
10Willem II186482325-222
11NAC BredaNAC Breda1871102131-1022
12NECNijmegen1862102424020
13PEC Zwolle184591627-1117
14Groningen174581426-1217
15Heracles173681934-1515
16Sparta RotterdamSparta182791527-1213
17Almere CityAlmere City1824121037-2710
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1814131943-247
> Eredivisie Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!