MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 06:52:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Sportpark De Weeren
Ajax

Nijmegen
1 - 2
Ajax

Tavsan (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hlynsson (57'), Borges (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nijmegen 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, November 26 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Marseille 4-3 Ajax
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: NEC 1-4 Ajax

Given the consistency that NEC have shown in avoiding defeat of late, this may not be one-way traffic. Nevertheless, Ajax have started to score a hatful of goals and we can only see the visitors ultimately prevailing by a wide margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.63%) and 3-2 (5.07%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
NECDrawAjax
45.49% (3.844 3.84) 20.77% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 33.74% (-3.83 -3.83)
Both teams to score 73.28% (-0.994 -0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.73% (-0.89200000000001 -0.89)25.27% (0.891 0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.73% (-1.168 -1.17)45.27% (1.166 1.17)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.78% (0.872 0.87)12.21% (-0.874 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.1% (1.803 1.8)37.9% (-1.803 -1.8)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.47% (-1.984 -1.98)16.52% (1.983 1.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.73% (-3.695 -3.7)46.27% (3.694 3.69)
Score Analysis
    NEC 45.49%
    Ajax 33.74%
    Draw 20.77%
NECDrawAjax
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.445 0.45)
3-1 @ 5.63% (0.487 0.49)
3-2 @ 5.07% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 4.46% (0.527 0.53)
1-0 @ 4.24% (0.374 0.37)
3-0 @ 3.13% (0.459 0.46)
4-1 @ 2.96% (0.345 0.35)
4-2 @ 2.66% (0.143 0.14)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.287 0.29)
4-3 @ 1.6% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.24% (0.181 0.18)
5-2 @ 1.12% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 45.49%
1-1 @ 7.64% (0.178 0.18)
2-2 @ 7.23% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-3 @ 3.04% (-0.146 -0.15)
0-0 @ 2.02% (0.115 0.12)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 20.77%
1-2 @ 6.88% (-0.317 -0.32)
2-3 @ 4.34% (-0.362 -0.36)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.496 -0.5)
0-1 @ 3.63% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.27% (-0.267 -0.27)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.311 -0.31)
2-4 @ 1.95% (-0.313 -0.31)
1-4 @ 1.86% (-0.371 -0.37)
3-4 @ 1.37% (-0.167 -0.17)
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 33.74%

Head to Head
Mar 5, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 24
Ajax
1-0
Nijmegen
Kudus (52')
Jan 8, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 15
Nijmegen
1-1
Ajax
Dimata (52')
Klaassen (38')
Apr 23, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 27
Nijmegen
0-1
Ajax

Schone (55'), Guth (59')
Brobbey (88')
Blind (53')
Aug 14, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 1
Ajax
5-0
Nijmegen
Haller (5'), Mazraoui (9'), Van Rooij (13' og.), Tadic (19', 38')
Apr 8, 2017 6.45pm
Nijmegen
1-5
Ajax
Kadioglu (54')
Breinburg (5' og.), Neres (8'), Traore (32', 60'), Ziyech (78')
van de Beek (72')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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