RKC Waalwijk

2 - 3

Ajax

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 72.41%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 11.69%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-3 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.16%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.