MX23RW : Saturday, February 1 16:53:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Waalwijk logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 7
Dec 6, 2023 at 7pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion
Ajax

RKC Waalwijk
2 - 3
Ajax

Kramer (37'), Oukili (51')
Meijers (42'), Oukili (87')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Brobbey (30'), Bergwijn (43' pen.), Berghuis (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-0 FC Twente
Sunday, September 24 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 0-4 Feyenoord
Wednesday, September 27 at 1pm in Eredivisie

We said: RKC Waalwijk 1-1 Ajax

Ajax would normally be expected to win this fixture, but they have made a very poor start to the season, collecting just two points from their opening three away games. Given that Waalwijk have won their last two games on the bounce, they should head into Saturday's game in high spirits, and we think they might be able to pick up a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 72.41%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 11.69%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-3 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.16%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawAjax
11.69% (-0.415 -0.42) 15.9% (-0.216 -0.22) 72.41% (0.634 0.63)
Both teams to score 56.94% (-0.59 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.71% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)31.29% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.27% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)52.73% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.58% (-0.70999999999999 -0.71)38.42% (0.714 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.82% (-0.688 -0.69)75.18% (0.69200000000001 0.69)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.47% (0.113 0.11)7.53% (-0.1079 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.01% (0.283 0.28)26.99% (-0.279 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 11.69%
    Ajax 72.41%
    Draw 15.9%
RKC WaalwijkDrawAjax
2-1 @ 3.42% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-0 @ 2.77% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.41% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-0 @ 1.32% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.09% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 11.69%
1-1 @ 7.16% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-0 @ 2.89% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 15.9%
0-2 @ 9.68% (0.149 0.15)
1-2 @ 9.25% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 8.34% (0.174 0.17)
1-3 @ 7.98% (0.014 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.48% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
0-4 @ 5.4% (0.142 0.14)
1-4 @ 5.16% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.82% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-5 @ 2.79% (0.088 0.09)
1-5 @ 2.67% (0.034 0.03)
2-4 @ 2.47% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-5 @ 1.28% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-6 @ 1.2% (0.044 0.04)
1-6 @ 1.15% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 72.41%

How you voted: RKC Waalwijk vs Ajax

RKC Waalwijk
14.3%
Draw
23.8%
Ajax
61.9%
21
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 21
Ajax
3-1
RKC Waalwijk
Brobbey (50'), Maduro (78'), Kudus (81')
Seuntjens (17')
Oct 22, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 11
RKC Waalwijk
1-4
Ajax
Clement (40')
Berghuis (22', 53'), Brobbey (62', 81')
Mar 6, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 22
Ajax
3-2
RKC Waalwijk
Haller (33', 37'), Tadic (90' pen.)
Martinez (15'), Rensch (53'), Tadic (90+3')
Kramer (50'), Van der Venne (57')
Anita (90+2')
Nov 21, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 12
RKC Waalwijk
0-5
Ajax

Gaari (85')
Haller (17', 83'), Berghuis (42', 57'), Maduro (74')
Apr 11, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 29
RKC Waalwijk
0-1
Ajax
Haller (14')
Alvarez (40'), Martinez (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV20161365204549
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2012533730741
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ20104634211334
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8NAC BredaNAC Breda2182112636-1026
9Fortuna SittardSittard207492736-925
10Heerenveen2073102136-1524
11NECNijmegen1972102825323
12Willem II206592428-423
13PEC Zwolle206592329-623
14Groningen205691729-1221
15Heracles214982437-1321
16Sparta RotterdamSparta203891829-1117
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2025132244-2211
18Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910


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