Eredivisie | Gameweek 15
Dec 10, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Noslin (87')
Voet (72'), Noslin (88')
FT (HT: 0-0)
We said: Fortuna Sittard 2-1 RKC Waalwijk
With both of these bottom-half teams having collected points recently, this feels like an evenly-matched contest. However, we have to back the home side to come through this encounter given their recent two home showings, albeit perhaps by a smaller margin than in those fixtures.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 49.88% . A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.5% .
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.89%) . The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (6.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
Result Fortuna Sittard Draw RKC Waalwijk 49.88% ( -0.42) 23.54% ( 0.11) 26.58% ( 0.31)
Both teams to score 58.07% ( -0.12)
56.83% ( -0.28) 43.17% ( 0.28)
34.43% ( -0.28) 65.56% ( 0.28)
82.58% ( -0.27) 17.42% ( 0.26)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 52.14% ( -0.47) 47.86% ( 0.46)
70.33% ( 0.08) 29.67% ( -0.09)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34.28% ( 0.1) 65.72% ( -0.1)
Fortuna Sittard 49.88%
RKC Waalwijk 26.58%
Draw 23.54%
Fortuna Sittard Draw RKC Waalwijk 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.85% Total : 49.88% 1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.54% 1-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.21% Total : 26.58%
rhs 2.0
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