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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
PEC Zwolle

Ajax
2 - 2
PEC Zwolle

Brobbey (35', 48')
Berghuis (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Thy (60', 89')
Velanas (30'), Garcia McNulty (54'), Vellios (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 3-1 AEK Athens
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-3 Nijmegen
Saturday, December 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 4-0 PEC Zwolle

Regardless of the short turnaround from Thursday night, we fully expect this to be one-way traffic. While the visitors netted five times in their last away game, they may not trouble the scorers on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 66.13%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 16.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.71%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
AjaxDrawPEC Zwolle
66.13% (-0.82600000000001 -0.83) 17.07% (0.225 0.22) 16.79% (0.604 0.6)
Both teams to score 67.31% (0.521 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.09% (0.072999999999993 0.07)24.9% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.21% (0.094000000000001 0.09)44.79% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.83% (-0.136 -0.14)7.17% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.93% (-0.36399999999999 -0.36)26.07% (0.368 0.37)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.51% (0.66900000000001 0.67)27.48% (-0.665 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.02% (0.856 0.86)62.98% (-0.853 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 66.13%
    PEC Zwolle 16.79%
    Draw 17.07%
AjaxDrawPEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-1 @ 7.76% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.84% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-0 @ 6.01% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-0 @ 5.19% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 5.11% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-2 @ 5.01% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 3.96% (-0.136 -0.14)
4-2 @ 3.3% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.7% (-0.062 -0.06)
5-0 @ 2.09% (-0.088 -0.09)
5-2 @ 1.74% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.42% (0.031 0.03)
6-1 @ 1.18% (-0.036 -0.04)
6-0 @ 0.92% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 66.13%
1-1 @ 6.71% (0.045 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.103 0.1)
3-3 @ 2.16% (0.064 0.06)
0-0 @ 1.97% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 17.07%
1-2 @ 4.33% (0.11 0.11)
0-1 @ 2.55% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.089 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 1.64% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 16.79%

How you voted: Ajax vs PEC Zwolle

Ajax
100%
Draw
0.0%
PEC Zwolle
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 28
Ajax
3-0
PEC Zwolle
Tadic (30'), Klaassen (51', 80')
Sep 11, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 3
PEC Zwolle
0-2
Ajax

Redan (49')
Haller (29', 67')
Antony (26'), Gravenberch (51'), Mazraoui (78')
Mar 14, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 26
PEC Zwolle
0-2
Ajax

Huiberts (62')
Neres (28'), Tagliafico (38')
Haller (90+1')
Dec 12, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 12
Ajax
4-0
PEC Zwolle
Huntelaar (7'), Promes (11'), Antony (35'), Gravenberch (90+2')
Apr 5, 2020 1.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342941111219091
2Feyenoord34266292266684
3FC Twente34216769363369
4AZ AlkmaarAZ34198770393165
5Ajax341511874611356
6NECNijmegen341411968511753
7FC UtrechtUtrecht341311104947250
8Sparta RotterdamSparta34147135148349
9Go Ahead Eagles341210124746146
10Fortuna SittardSittard34911143756-1938
11Heerenveen34107175370-1737
12PEC Zwolle3499164567-2236
13Almere CityAlmere City34713143359-2634
14Heracles3496194174-3333
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3478193856-1829
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior34611175073-2329
RFC VolendamVolendam3447233488-5419
RVitesse3466223074-446


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