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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 69.79%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 12.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | Groningen |
69.79% ( 0.45) | 17.9% ( -0.2) | 12.32% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 51.18% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.45% ( 0.28) | 39.55% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.1% ( 0.3) | 61.9% ( -0.29) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.79% ( 0.19) | 10.21% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.5% ( 0.43) | 33.5% ( -0.43) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57% ( -0.23) | 43.01% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.71% ( -0.19) | 79.3% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | Groningen |
2-0 @ 11.43% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.48% Total : 69.78% | 1-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.98% Total : 17.9% | 0-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.34% Total : 12.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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