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Eredivisie | Gameweek 3
Aug 31, 2022 at 8pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
Excelsior

FC Twente
4 - 0
SBV Excelsior

Cleonise (1'), Tzolis (8'), Cerny (62', 90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: FC Twente 2-1 SBV Excelsior

Despite boasting a poor record in the recent editions of this fixture, Twente possess a significantly better squad compared to their opponents and we are tipping them to get the job done, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 61.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawSBV Excelsior
61.39% (0.074999999999996 0.07) 20.8% (0.00099999999999767 0) 17.81% (-0.073 -0.07)
Both teams to score 55.04% (-0.14 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.61% (-0.113 -0.11)41.39% (0.117 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.22% (-0.117 -0.12)63.78% (0.119 0.12)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)13% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.48% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)39.52% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.26% (-0.15 -0.15)36.74% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.48% (-0.152 -0.15)73.53% (0.155 0.16)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 61.39%
    SBV Excelsior 17.81%
    Draw 20.8%
FC TwenteDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.94% (0.042 0.04)
1-0 @ 9.74% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.76% (0.025 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.45% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 3.45% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.41% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 61.39%
1-1 @ 9.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.77% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.8%
1-2 @ 4.89% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.39% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 17.81%

How you voted: FC Twente vs SBV Excelsior

FC Twente
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
SBV Excelsior
11.1%
27
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2017 7.45pm
Oct 27, 2017 7pm
FC Twente
1-3
SBV Excelsior
Boere (2')
Cuevas (38'), Lam (87')
Faik (41'), Massop (74'), Karami (80')
Caenepeel (84')
Feb 12, 2017 11.30am
Aug 6, 2016 6.45pm
FC Twente
1-2
SBV Excelsior
Oosterwijk (82')
Trajkovski (83')
Vermeulen (13'), Hasselbaink (61')
Koolwijk (17'), Kuipers (54'), Bruins (87')
Apr 20, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1312014593636
2Feyenoord1384131131828
3FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
4Ajax1182125111426
5FC Twente1374226121425
6Go Ahead Eagles135351820-218
7AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
8Fortuna SittardSittard135261418-417
9NECNijmegen125161910916
10Willem II124351312115
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen134271326-1314
13Heracles133461425-1113
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Groningen133371224-1212
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City13139630-246
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1312101233-215


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