Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 35.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
