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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Ajax | 1 | 1 | 3 |
6 | FC Twente | 1 | 1 | 3 |
7 | RKC Waalwijk | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Emmen | 2 | -3 | 1 |
15 | Fortuna Sittard | 1 | -1 | 0 |
16 | NEC | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 68.93%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 12.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
68.93% ( 3.75) | 18.3% ( -1.67) | 12.76% ( -2.08) |
Both teams to score 51.13% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.68% ( 2.91) | 40.32% ( -2.91) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.3% ( 2.93) | 62.7% ( -2.93) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.37% ( 1.84) | 10.63% ( -1.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.54% ( 3.98) | 34.46% ( -3.98) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.21% ( -1.22) | 42.79% ( 1.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.89% ( -1.06) | 79.11% ( 1.06) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
2-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.6) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.74) 3-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.41) 4-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.73) 4-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.5) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.46) 5-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.34) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.16) Other @ 4.22% Total : 68.92% | 1-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.82) 0-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.64) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.98% Total : 18.3% | 0-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.69) 1-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.49) 0-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.36) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.18) Other @ 1.38% Total : 12.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
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