Eredivisie | Gameweek 6
Sep 11, 2022 at 11.15am UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
We said: FC Utrecht 2-1 Vitesse
With the teams full of confidence from their respective last outings, a close encounter is expected here with chances at both ends. That said, we are tipping the home side to come out on top, albeit by only a narrow margin.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 47.44% . A win for Vitesse had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.5% .
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (7.9%) . The likeliest Vitesse win was 0-1 (7.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Utrecht in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Utrecht.
Result FC Utrecht Draw Vitesse 47.44% ( 0.4) 24.54% ( 0.15) 28.02% ( -0.54)
Both teams to score 55.9% ( -0.88)
53.43% ( -0.99) 46.57% ( 0.99)
31.15% ( -0.93) 68.85% ( 0.93)
80.29% ( -0.23) 19.71% ( 0.23)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 48.28% ( -0.38) 51.72% ( 0.38)
69.63% ( -0.9) 30.37% ( 0.9)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 33.43% ( -1.09) 66.57% ( 1.09)
FC Utrecht 47.44%
Vitesse 28.02%
Draw 24.54%
FC Utrecht Draw Vitesse 1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.98% Total : 47.44% 1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.54% 0-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.08% Total : 28.02%
How you voted: Utrecht vs Vitesse
22
rhs 2.0
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