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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 57.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Vitesse win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Vitesse |
57.28% | 22.41% | 20.3% |
Both teams to score 54.09% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.19% | 44.81% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.83% | 67.17% |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.6% | 15.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.79% | 44.2% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.94% | 36.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.16% | 72.84% |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Vitesse |
1-0 @ 10.38% 2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.72% 3-1 @ 6.18% 3-0 @ 6.06% 3-2 @ 3.15% 4-1 @ 2.89% 4-0 @ 2.84% 4-2 @ 1.48% 5-1 @ 1.08% 5-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.52% Total : 57.27% | 1-1 @ 10.59% 0-0 @ 5.55% 2-2 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.41% | 0-1 @ 5.66% 1-2 @ 5.4% 0-2 @ 2.89% 1-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.81% Total : 20.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
7 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |