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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 65.09%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 15.77%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.82%) and 0-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 2-1 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Volendam | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
15.77% ( 0.01) | 19.13% ( 0.14) | 65.09% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 56.46% ( -0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.61% ( -0.68) | 37.39% ( 0.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.39% ( -0.73) | 59.61% ( 0.73) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.29% ( -0.41) | 36.71% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.5% ( -0.41) | 73.5% ( 0.41) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.21% ( -0.24) | 10.79% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.19% ( -0.52) | 34.81% ( 0.52) |
Score Analysis |
FC Volendam | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 4.43% ( 0) 1-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.26% Total : 15.78% | 1-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.19% Total : 19.14% | 1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.82% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 7.3% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 7.29% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 4.07% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 4.06% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.06) 1-5 @ 1.81% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 1.81% ( -0.03) 2-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.68% Total : 65.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |