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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 59.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 20.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.53%) and 1-0 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Utrecht |
59.12% ( -0.01) | 20.66% ( 0) | 20.21% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 60.04% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.11% ( 0) | 36.89% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.93% ( 0) | 59.06% ( -0) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.76% ( -0) | 12.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.06% ( -0) | 37.94% |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.41% ( 0) | 31.59% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.01% ( 0) | 67.99% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.53% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.12% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.88% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.97% 3-2 @ 3.97% 4-1 @ 3.62% 4-0 @ 3.14% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.08% 5-1 @ 1.52% 5-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 4.15% Total : 59.12% | 1-1 @ 9.36% 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.86% 3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.66% | 1-2 @ 5.39% 0-1 @ 4.45% 0-2 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.07% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.57% Total : 20.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |