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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 54.44%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 23.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 2-1 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Volendam | Draw | Heerenveen |
23.24% ( -0.14) | 22.32% ( 0.03) | 54.44% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 58.64% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.24% ( -0.29) | 40.76% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.85% ( -0.3) | 63.14% ( 0.3) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.94% ( -0.28) | 31.06% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.63% ( -0.33) | 67.37% ( 0.33) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.06% ( -0.06) | 14.94% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.65% ( -0.12) | 43.34% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
FC Volendam | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 23.24% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.31% | 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 6.21% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.31% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.95% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 54.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |