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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 6 | 18 | 18 |
2 | Feyenoord | 5 | 9 | 13 |
3 | AZ Alkmaar | 5 | 7 | 13 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | SBV Excelsior | 6 | -7 | 9 |
8 | Sparta Rotterdam | 5 | 3 | 7 |
9 | NEC | 6 | 2 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 67.39%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 13.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
67.39% ( 0.34) | 18.63% ( -0.22) | 13.97% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 53.52% ( 0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.04% ( 0.72) | 38.96% ( -0.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.72% ( 0.76) | 61.28% ( -0.76) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.36% ( 0.29) | 10.64% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.51% ( 0.65) | 34.49% ( -0.65) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.9% ( 0.28) | 40.1% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.25% ( 0.25) | 76.75% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 8% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.06) Other @ 4.41% Total : 67.39% | 1-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.64% | 1-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 1.72% Total : 13.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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