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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 50.64%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.85%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 2-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
NAC Breda | Draw | Ajax |
27.42% ( -2.79) | 21.94% ( 0.13) | 50.64% ( 2.66) |
Both teams to score 64.59% ( -2.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.09% ( -2.61) | 34.91% ( 2.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.11% ( -2.97) | 56.89% ( 2.98) |
NAC Breda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.23% ( -3.04) | 24.77% ( 3.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.66% ( -4.44) | 59.34% ( 4.45) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.87% ( -0.07) | 14.13% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.21% ( -0.14) | 41.79% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
NAC Breda | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.31) 1-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.45) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.45) 3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.27) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.27) Other @ 2.59% Total : 27.42% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.32) 0-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.45) 3-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.3) Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.94% | 1-2 @ 9.35% ( 0.38) 0-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.86) 0-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.82) 1-3 @ 6.1% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.53) 2-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.22) 1-4 @ 2.98% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.25) 2-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.12) 1-5 @ 1.17% ( 0.04) 3-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.66% Total : 50.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |