MX23RW : Sunday, October 6 02:19:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 1
Aug 11, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Heerenveen

Ajax
1 - 0
Heerenveen

Hlynsson (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bochniewicz (16'), Braude (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Panathinaikos 0-1 Ajax
Thursday, August 8 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Heerenveen
Saturday, August 3 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Ajax 2-0 Heerenveen

Van Persie will be keen to make a positive start in his first competitive game as a manager in professional football, but we think that the ex-Man United man will see his team outclassed by an Ajax side who will be determined to begin their league campaign with a win following last season's sluggish start. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 60.6%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 19.45%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.3%) and 1-0 (7.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawHeerenveen
60.6% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04) 19.94% (-0.087999999999997 -0.09) 19.45% (0.118 0.12)
Both teams to score 61.37% (0.549 0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.42% (0.616 0.62)34.57% (-0.621 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.48% (0.69 0.69)56.51% (-0.693 -0.69)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.88% (0.17500000000001 0.18)11.12% (-0.179 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.45% (0.387 0.39)35.55% (-0.391 -0.39)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.05% (0.48100000000001 0.48)30.95% (-0.486 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.75% (0.563 0.56)67.25% (-0.56699999999999 -0.57)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 60.6%
    Heerenveen 19.45%
    Draw 19.94%
AjaxDrawHeerenveen
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.3% (-0.142 -0.14)
1-0 @ 7.56% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-1 @ 7.13% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.08% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
3-2 @ 4.18% (0.071 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.91% (0.043 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.34% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.3% (0.055 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.72% (0.031 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.47% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.01% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 60.6%
1-1 @ 8.87% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.055 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.44% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.63% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 19.94%
1-2 @ 5.2% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.04% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.37% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.051 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.03% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 0.93% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 19.45%

How you voted: Ajax vs Heerenveen

Ajax
87.5%
Draw
8.9%
Heerenveen
3.6%
56
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 21
Heerenveen
3-2
Ajax
Van Amersfoort (11', 46'), Sahraoui (38')
van Beek (49'), Kohlert (51'), Braude (65'), Bochniewicz (72')
Bochniewicz (51' og.), Akpom (79')
Nov 5, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 11
Ajax
4-1
Heerenveen
Bergwijn (25'), Brobbey (42'), Akpom (84', 90+2')
van den Boomen (60')
Brouwers (45+1')
van Amersfoort (40'), Olsson (81')
Mar 12, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 25
Heerenveen
2-4
Ajax
Kudus (10'), Alvarez (16'), Bergwijn (19'), Taylor (52')
Sep 10, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 6
Ajax
5-0
Heerenveen
Klaassen (4'), Taylor (16'), Kudus (48', 59'), Brobbey (70')
May 11, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 29
Ajax
5-0
Heerenveen
Tagliafico (19'), Berghuis (33'), Haller (38' pen.), Brobbey (85'), Alvarez (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV88002752224
2FC UtrechtUtrecht7610148619
3AZ AlkmaarAZ75111741316
4FC Twente7421135814
5Willem II8323119211
6Ajax5311103710
7Feyenoord6240126610
8Sparta RotterdamSparta824299010
9Go Ahead Eagles731369-310
10Groningen723210829
11Heracles723269-39
12NAC BredaNAC Breda8305614-89
13NECNijmegen821579-27
14PEC Zwolle7214710-37
15Fortuna SittardSittard7214713-67
16Heerenveen7214916-77
17Almere CityAlmere City8026219-172
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk8008522-170


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