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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | FC Utrecht | 33 | 8 | 47 |
8 | NEC | 33 | -13 | 38 |
9 | Heerenveen | 33 | -15 | 38 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 33 | 79 | 82 |
2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 82.96%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for NEC had a probability of 5.53%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.87%) and 0-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.46%), while for a NEC win it was 1-0 (1.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | Ajax |
5.53% | 11.51% | 82.96% |
Both teams to score 44.26% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.02% | 31.98% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.45% | 53.55% |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.91% | 53.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.29% | 86.7% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.34% | 5.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
78.1% | 21.89% |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | Ajax |
1-0 @ 1.9% 2-1 @ 1.73% Other @ 1.9% Total : 5.53% | 1-1 @ 5.46% 0-0 @ 3% 2-2 @ 2.48% Other @ 0.56% Total : 11.51% | 0-2 @ 12.39% 0-3 @ 11.87% 0-1 @ 8.62% 0-4 @ 8.53% 1-2 @ 7.85% 1-3 @ 7.52% 1-4 @ 5.4% 0-5 @ 4.9% 1-5 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-6 @ 2.35% 2-4 @ 1.71% 1-6 @ 1.49% 2-5 @ 0.98% 0-7 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.9% Total : 82.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
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