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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 71.1%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for NEC had a probability of 13.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a NEC win it was 2-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | Ajax |
13.25% ( 1.63) | 15.64% ( 1.27) | 71.1% ( -2.9) |
Both teams to score 63.59% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.44% ( -2.24) | 25.56% ( 2.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.35% ( -2.95) | 45.65% ( 2.96) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.96% ( 0.61) | 32.04% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.49% ( 0.68) | 68.5% ( -0.68) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.57% ( -0.99) | 6.42% ( 1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.95% ( -2.81) | 24.05% ( 2.82) |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.42) 1-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.36) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.22) Other @ 2.63% Total : 13.25% | 1-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.65) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.29) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.39% Total : 15.64% | 1-2 @ 8.83% ( 0.41) 1-3 @ 8.08% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 7.1% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.49) 1-4 @ 5.54% ( -0.41) 0-4 @ 4.87% ( -0.45) 2-3 @ 4.6% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 3.16% ( -0.18) 1-5 @ 3.04% ( -0.43) 0-5 @ 2.68% ( -0.43) 2-5 @ 1.73% ( -0.21) 1-6 @ 1.39% ( -0.29) 0-6 @ 1.22% ( -0.28) 3-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.05) Other @ 4.27% Total : 71.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |