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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 10
Oct 16, 2022 at 11.15am UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
NEC

Sparta
2 - 0
Nijmegen

Abels (7'), de Guzman (29')
van Crooij (79'), Lauritsen (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Elkarouani (25'), Tannane (62'), Verdonk (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions
Last Game: Sparta 3-1 Emmen
Saturday, October 8 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

NEC

All competitions
Last Game: Nijmegen 1-1 Excelsior
Saturday, October 8 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 NEC

 NEC have been on a remarkable run of draws recently, and we expect it to continue for at least another game. Despite Sparta Rotterdam's good recent form at home, Nijmegen have been able to keep it tight at the back and frustrate teams, which they are likely to do again on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for NEC had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawNEC
46.76% (0.199 0.2) 25.46% (-0.138 -0.14) 27.79% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 52.78% (0.382 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.41% (0.522 0.52)50.59% (-0.52 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.5% (0.46 0.46)72.51% (-0.458 -0.46)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.36% (0.30799999999999 0.31)21.64% (-0.307 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.24% (0.466 0.47)54.76% (-0.465 -0.47)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.36% (0.226 0.23)32.65% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (0.253 0.25)69.19% (-0.25099999999999 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 46.75%
    NEC 27.79%
    Draw 25.45%
Sparta RotterdamDrawNEC
1-0 @ 10.81% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.28% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.73% (0.061 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.22% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.81% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 46.75%
1-1 @ 12.1% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.06% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 7.91% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-2 @ 6.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.43% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.65% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 27.79%

How you voted: Sparta vs Nijmegen

Sparta Rotterdam
47.4%
Draw
44.7%
NEC
7.9%
38
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 8pm
NEC
0-0
Sparta

Guth (51')

de Kamps (19')
Sep 17, 2021 7pm
Sparta
1-1
NEC
Mijnans (44')
Auassar (62'), Abels (73')
Okita (28')
Akman (36'), Barreto (79'), Schone (85')
Mar 24, 2019 11.15am
Sparta
1-0
NEC
Ache (40')

Bruijn (32'), Wolters (42')
Nov 18, 2018 3.45pm
NEC
1-1
Sparta
Braken (7')
Bossaerts (59'), Dijkstra (66'), van Eijden (89')
Harroui (84')
Auassar (27')
Feb 25, 2017 6.45pm
NEC
0-1
Sparta

Golla (76')
Van Moorsel (33')
Sanusi (41'), van Moorsel (59'), Dumfries (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV18151261154646
2Ajax18133239172242
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1812333629739
4Feyenoord18105341231835
5FC Twente18104438231534
6AZ AlkmaarAZ18103533191433
7Go Ahead Eagles188463327628
8Fortuna SittardSittard187472528-325
9Heerenveen187382133-1224
10Willem II186482325-222
11NAC BredaNAC Breda1871102131-1022
12NECNijmegen1862102424020
13PEC Zwolle184591627-1117
14Groningen174581426-1217
15Heracles173681934-1515
16Sparta RotterdamSparta182791527-1213
17Almere CityAlmere City1824121037-2710
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1814131943-247
> Eredivisie Full Table


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