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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 82.57%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for NEC had a probability of 6.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 3-1 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.99%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (1.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | NEC |
82.57% ( -0.12) | 11.09% ( 0.06) | 6.33% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 52.49% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.78% ( -0.09) | 25.22% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.79% ( -0.12) | 45.21% ( 0.12) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.53% ( -0.04) | 4.47% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
81.65% ( -0.11) | 18.35% ( 0.11) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.94% ( 0.09) | 45.05% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.02% ( 0.07) | 80.98% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | NEC |
3-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.49% ( 0) 6-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.55% ( -0) 7-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 5.03% Total : 82.57% | 1-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 1% Total : 11.09% | 1-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 6.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |