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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 25.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 0-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
50.89% ( -0.09) | 23.84% ( -0.03) | 25.27% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 55.82% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.43% ( 0.25) | 45.57% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.1% ( 0.24) | 67.9% ( -0.23) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.06% ( 0.06) | 17.94% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.23% ( 0.1) | 48.77% ( -0.1) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.02% ( 0.23) | 31.98% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.56% ( 0.27) | 68.43% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.58% Total : 50.9% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.83% | 0-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 25.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |