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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 57.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 19.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Cambuur win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Cambuur |
57.83% ( 1.27) | 22.29% ( 0.42) | 19.88% ( -1.69) |
Both teams to score 53.79% ( -4.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.13% ( -4.15) | 44.87% ( 4.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.77% ( -4.13) | 67.23% ( 4.13) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.76% ( -1) | 15.24% ( 1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.09% ( -1.91) | 43.91% ( 1.91) |
Cambuur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.46% ( -4.02) | 36.54% ( 4.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.67% ( -4.28) | 73.32% ( 4.28) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Cambuur |
1-0 @ 10.47% ( 1.44) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.85% ( 1.06) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.47) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.47) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.28) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 57.82% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.4) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.94) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.56) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.3) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.29% | 0-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.39) 0-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.35) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.4) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.15) Other @ 1.73% Total : 19.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
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