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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result | ||
Cambuur | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
36.55% ( -0.08) | 25.88% ( -0.03) | 37.57% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 54.65% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.36% ( 0.12) | 49.64% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.34% ( 0.11) | 71.66% ( -0.11) |
Cambuur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.63% ( 0.01) | 26.36% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.49% ( 0.02) | 61.5% ( -0.02) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.21% ( 0.11) | 25.78% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.26% ( 0.15) | 60.73% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Cambuur | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
1-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.25% Total : 36.55% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 20 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 65 | 20 | 45 | 49 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 41 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 23 |
14 | Groningen | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 21 |
15 | Heracles | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 20 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 17 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 44 | -22 | 11 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
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