Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 18, 2024 at 6pm UK
Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena
Dinamo Tbilisi1 - 1Mornar
Salia (33'), Iobashvili (70')
Simon (37'), Lominadze (83')
Ugrekhelidze (20')
Simon (37'), Lominadze (83')
Ugrekhelidze (20')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Zoric (57')
Dubljevic (34'), Zoric (58'), Vusurovic (90+8'), Popovic (90+9')
Dubljevic (34'), Zoric (58'), Vusurovic (90+8'), Popovic (90+9')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Dinamo Tbilisi and Mornar.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mornar 2-1 Dinamo Tbilisi
Thursday, July 11 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 11 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Tbilisi win with a probability of 58.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Mornar had a probability of 18.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Tbilisi win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Mornar win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dinamo Tbilisi | Draw | Mornar |
58.05% ( 0.15) | 23.71% ( -0) | 18.23% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 46.69% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.07% ( -0.19) | 52.92% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.47% ( -0.17) | 74.53% ( 0.17) |
Dinamo Tbilisi Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.99% ( -0.02) | 18% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.12% ( -0.03) | 48.87% ( 0.03) |
Mornar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.95% ( -0.29) | 43.05% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.66% ( -0.24) | 79.33% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Dinamo Tbilisi 58.04%
Mornar 18.23%
Draw 23.71%
Dinamo Tbilisi | Draw | Mornar |
1-0 @ 13.28% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 58.04% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.71% Total : 23.71% | 0-1 @ 6.53% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.76% Total : 18.23% |
Head to Head
Jul 11, 2024 7.45pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Mornar
2-1
Dinamo Tbilisi
Durisic (20'), Vusurovic (23')
Dubljevic (38'), Moistsrapishvili (89')
Seratlic (84')
Dubljevic (38'), Moistsrapishvili (89')
Seratlic (84')
Ugrekhelidze (90+4')
Ugrekhelidze (44'), Kalandadze (68'), Moistsrapishvili (87'), Khvadagiani (87')
Ugrekhelidze (44'), Kalandadze (68'), Moistsrapishvili (87'), Khvadagiani (87')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-22 04:09:40
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 50 |
2 | Arsenal | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 43 | 21 | 22 | 44 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 44 |
4 | Chelsea | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 40 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 38 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 38 |
7 | Bournemouth | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 37 |
8 | Aston Villa | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 36 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
10 | Fulham | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 33 |
11 | Brentford | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 28 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 27 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 26 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 26 |
15 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 45 | 35 | 10 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 16 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 50 | -35 | 6 |
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