Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Liepaja win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Gjilani had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Liepaja win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Gjilani win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FK Liepaja would win this match.