Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gjilani win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for FK Liepaja had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gjilani win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest FK Liepaja win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gjilani in this match.