MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:54:28| >> :600:386810:386810:
Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2022 at 8pm UK
LFF Stadium

Zalgiris
2 - 1
Pyunik

Ourega (23'), Oliveira (42')
Ourega (44'), Ljubisavljevic (77'), Mamic (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ozbiliz (78' pen.)
Vakulenko (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between FK Zalgiris and FC Pyunik, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FK Zalgiris

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Last Game: Pyunik 2-0 Zalgiris
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

FC Pyunik

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Pyunik 2-0 Zalgiris
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: FK Zalgiris 1-0 FC Pyunik

 Zalgiris are in desperate need of a win, and we back them to do just enough to get their first Europa Conference League victory this season. Pyunik have struggled away from home in recent times, and they will find it tough going to a ground where the home side very rarely lose. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for FC Pyunik had a probability of 27.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest FC Pyunik win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FK Zalgiris would win this match.

Result
FK ZalgirisDrawFC Pyunik
46.73% (-0.384 -0.38) 26.14% (-0.07 -0.07) 27.12% (0.459 0.46)
Both teams to score 50.19% (0.553 0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.26% (0.549 0.55)53.74% (-0.546 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.78% (0.46 0.46)75.22% (-0.456 -0.46)
FK Zalgiris Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.02% (0.057999999999993 0.06)22.97% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.23% (0.082999999999998 0.08)56.76% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
FC Pyunik Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.16% (0.672 0.67)34.84% (-0.667 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.42% (0.7 0.7)71.58% (-0.697 -0.7)
Score Analysis
    FK Zalgiris 46.73%
    FC Pyunik 27.12%
    Draw 26.14%
FK ZalgirisDrawFC Pyunik
1-0 @ 11.77% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 9.13%
2-0 @ 8.66% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-1 @ 4.48% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.24% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 46.73%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 8.44% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.55% (0.109 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.061 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 27.12%

How you voted: Zalgiris vs Pyunik

FK Zalgiris
63.6%
Draw
9.1%
FC Pyunik
27.3%
33
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2022 5.45pm
Group H
Pyunik
2-0
Zalgiris
Juninho (44'), Otubanjo (61')
rhs 2.0
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