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Europa League
Ludogorets
Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 18, 2022 at 6.45pm UK
Ludogorets Arena

Ludogorets
1 - 0
Zalgiris

Tatomirovic (2' og.)
Nedyalkov (45+1'), Yordanov (82'), Despodov (86'), Tissera (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Buff (36'), Mikoliunas (42'), Kazlauskas (78')
Kazlauskas (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ludogorets Razgrad and FK Zalgiris, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ludogorets Razgrad

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 4-2 Ludogorets
Tuesday, August 9 at 7pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

FK Zalgiris

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Zalgiris 1-1 Bodo/Glimt
Tuesday, August 9 at 5pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Ludogorets Razgrad 2-0 FK Zalgiris

 Ludogorets know that they must capitalise on playing in front of their fans if they are to be in the driving seat of the tie ahead of next week's return leg. We are backing them to get the job done come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-0 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ludogorets Razgrad would win this match.

Result
Ludogorets RazgradDrawFK Zalgiris
32.82% (0.097000000000001 0.1) 25.31% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 41.87% (-0.113 -0.11)
Both teams to score 55.9% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.27% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)47.73% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.08% (-0.041 -0.04)69.92% (0.041000000000011 0.04)
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.31% (0.040000000000006 0.04)27.69% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.76% (0.052 0.05)63.24% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
FK Zalgiris Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.31% (-0.074999999999989 -0.07)22.69% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.65% (-0.111 -0.11)56.35% (0.11 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Ludogorets Razgrad 32.82%
    FK Zalgiris 41.87%
    Draw 25.3%
Ludogorets RazgradDrawFK Zalgiris
1-0 @ 8.07% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.69% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.18% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.29% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.22% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 32.82%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.28% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 9.32% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 8.87% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.91% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.63% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 41.87%

How you voted: Ludogorets vs Zalgiris

Ludogorets Razgrad
80.2%
Draw
6.2%
FK Zalgiris
13.6%
81
Head to Head
Jul 19, 2017 7pm
Ludogorets
4-1
Zalgiris
Natanael (41'), Wanderson (55'), Keseru (56', 74')
Moti (45'), Natanael (70'), Keseru (75'), Dyakov (76')
Nyuiadzi (15')
Vaitkunas (9'), Blagojevic (56'), Slijngard (61')
Jul 12, 2017 7pm
Zalgiris
2-1
Ludogorets
Nyuiadzi (78'), Kuklys (86')
Blagojevic (9'), Ljujic (62'), Sernas (65'), Atajic (91')
Sernas (94')
Abel (18')
Campanharo (29'), Sasha (88')
rhs 2.0
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