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Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Europa Conference League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 25, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadion Poljud
Villarreal logo

Hajduk Split
0 - 2
Villarreal


Mikanovic (20')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pedraza (37'), Chukwueze (56')
Coquelin (22'), Moreno (77'), Cuenca (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Hajduk Split and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hajduk Split

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Last Game: Villarreal 4-2 Hajduk Split
Thursday, August 18 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Villarreal

Last Six:
Last Game: Atletico 0-2 Villarreal
Sunday, August 21 at 6.30pm in La Liga

We said: Hajduk Split 1-3 Villarreal (Villarreal win 7-3 on aggregate)

 Hajduk Split will certainly come out in an attacking manner with nothing to lose, but we see Villarreal having the quality to not only fend off the hosts' attempts, but also punish their potentially compromised defensive structure. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for Hajduk Split had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Hajduk Split win was 1-0 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Hajduk SplitDrawVillarreal
25.39% (0.273 0.27) 24.09% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 50.53% (-0.28299999999999 -0.28)
Both teams to score 55.1% (0.229 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.43% (0.174 0.17)46.57% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.16% (0.164 0.16)68.85% (-0.158 -0.16)
Hajduk Split Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.58% (0.31700000000001 0.32)32.42% (-0.311 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.06% (0.354 0.35)68.94% (-0.34700000000001 -0.35)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.54% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)18.47% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.34% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)49.66% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Hajduk Split 25.39%
    Villarreal 50.52%
    Draw 24.09%
Hajduk SplitDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 6.74% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.42% (0.054 0.05)
2-0 @ 3.8% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.41% (0.041 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.43% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 25.39%
1-1 @ 11.39%
0-0 @ 5.99% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.039 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.09%
0-1 @ 10.11% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 9.62% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.54% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-3 @ 5.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.81% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.05% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.29% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.03% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.29% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 50.52%

How you voted: Hajduk Split vs Villarreal

Hajduk Split
12.0%
Draw
9.8%
Villarreal
78.3%
92
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2022 7.45pm
Villarreal
4-2
Hajduk Split
Luis Morales (14', 36'), Livaja (19' og.), Moreno (45+1')
Baena (32'), Mandi (82')
Biuk (2'), Fossati (85' pen.)
Livaja (13'), Sahiti (35'), Awaziem (72'), Lovrencsics (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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