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La Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 21, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Villarreal logo

Atletico
0 - 2
Villarreal


Felix (48'), Gimenez (90+1')
Molina (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pino (73'), Moreno (90+7')
Parejo (90+3'), Baena (90+4'), Moreno (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Villarreal 4-2 Hajduk Split
Thursday, August 18 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Villarreal

Despite both meetings ending as 2-2 draws last season, we expect Atletico to record a victory this time around. The hosts should be fresher after Villarreal played in midweek, and we expect this to pay dividends, particularly later in the match with Simeone having so many excellent attacking options to call upon from the bench. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.05%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 27.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawVillarreal
45.05% (-0.061 -0.06) 27.93% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 27.02% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 45.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.77% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)60.23% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.58% (-0.023 -0.02)80.41% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.31% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)26.69% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)61.94% (0.058 0.06)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.53% (0.020000000000003 0.02)38.47% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.78% (0.02 0.02)75.22% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 45.05%
    Villarreal 27.02%
    Draw 27.92%
Atletico MadridDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 13.56%
2-0 @ 8.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 45.05%
1-1 @ 12.95%
0-0 @ 10.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.92%
0-1 @ 9.81% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.19% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.69% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 27.02%

How you voted: Atletico vs Villarreal

Atletico Madrid
72.8%
Draw
21.3%
Villarreal
5.9%
136
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2022 8pm
Aug 29, 2021 9pm
Atletico
2-2
Villarreal
Suarez (56'), Mandi (90+4' og.)
Simeone (16'), Correa (28'), Lemar (45'), Suarez (59'), De Paul (85')
Trigueros (52'), Danjuma (74')
Moreno (61'), Rulli (85')
Feb 28, 2021 8pm
Villarreal
0-2
Atletico

Costa (32'), Albiol (51')
Pedraza (25' og.), Felix (69')
Felipe (35'), Lemar (45+5'), Niguez (47')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Feb 23, 2020 8pm
Atletico
3-1
Villarreal
Correa (40'), Koke (64'), Felix (74')
Niguez (61'), Felix (90')
Alcacer (16')
Pena (25')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid37297187266194
2Barcelona37257577433482
3GironaGirona37246778463278
4Atletico MadridAtletico372341068432573
5Athletic Bilbao371811860372365
6Real Sociedad371612951371460
7Real BetisBetis37141494845356
8Villarreal371410136464052
9Valencia37139153843-548
10AlavesAlaves37129163545-1045
11Osasuna37128174455-1144
12Getafe371013144152-1143
13Sevilla371011164752-541
14Celta Vigo371010174455-1140
15Las PalmasLas Palmas37109183246-1439
16Rayo Vallecano37814152947-1838
17Mallorca37716143143-1237
18CadizCadiz37615162549-2433
RGranada3749243872-3421
RAlmeria37212233774-3718


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