Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 3, 2023 at 5pm UK
Nacionalinės futbolo akademijos stadionas
Kauno Zalgiris1 - 2Lech Poznan
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Kauno Zalgiris and Lech Poznan.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lech Poznan 3-1 Kauno Zalgiris
Thursday, July 27 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 27 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lech Poznan 2-0 Radomiak Radom
Sunday, July 30 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Sunday, July 30 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 50.15%. A win for Kauno Zalgiris had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (9.02%). The likeliest Kauno Zalgiris win was 1-0 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kauno Zalgiris | Draw | Lech Poznan |
24.94% ( 0.05) | 24.91% ( 0.02) | 50.15% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 52.06% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
