Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 27, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
INEA stadion
Lech Poznan3 - 1Kauno Zalgiris
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Lech Poznan and Kauno Zalgiris.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-3 Lech Poznan
Thursday, April 20 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, April 20 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Kauno Zalgiris 0-0 Ruzomberok
Thursday, July 14 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 14 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 54.82%. A win for Kauno Zalgiris had a probability of 22.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Kauno Zalgiris win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Kauno Zalgiris |
54.82% ( 0.06) | 22.43% ( -0.02) | 22.75% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.61% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
