Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Victoria Stadium
Larne0 - 1St Joseph's
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Larne and St Joseph's.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Larne 0-0 St Joseph's
Tuesday, July 5 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Tuesday, July 5 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Glentoran | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Larne | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Linfield | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for St Joseph's had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest St Joseph's win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Larne | Draw | St Joseph's |
45.05% ( 0.02) | 25.4% ( -0.02) | 29.55% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 54.1% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.6% ( 0.07) | 49.4% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.55% ( 0.06) | 71.44% ( -0.06) |
Larne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.08% ( 0.03) | 21.91% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.82% ( 0.05) | 55.18% ( -0.06) |
St Joseph's Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.28% ( 0.03) | 30.72% ( -0.04) |