Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 28, 2022 at 6pm UK
Åråsen Stadion
Lillestrom5 - 2SJK
Matthew (23'), Fridjonsson (42', 56', 61'), Rosler (85')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Lillestrom and SJK.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: SJK 0-1 Lillestrom
Thursday, July 21 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 21 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Molde | 16 | 17 | 36 |
| 2 | Lillestrom | 15 | 15 | 33 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | 15 | 17 | 28 |
Last Game: Lahti 1-3 SJK
Sunday, July 24 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Sunday, July 24 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Ilves | 15 | -1 | 19 |
| 7 | SJK | 15 | -5 | 19 |
| 8 | Inter Turku | 15 | 5 | 18 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for SJK had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.71%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest SJK win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lillestrom | Draw | SJK |
48.09% ( 0.01) | 22.31% ( 0.02) | 29.6% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 64.95% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
