Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 21, 2022 at 5pm UK
OmaSP Stadion
SJK0 - 1Lillestrom
Obioha Samson (80'), Rojas (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between SJK and Lillestrom.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: SJK 3-3 Ilves
Sunday, July 17 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Sunday, July 17 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Vaasan Palloseura | 14 | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | SJK | 14 | -7 | 16 |
| 10 | IFK Mariehamn | 14 | -5 | 15 |
Last Game: Odd 1-2 Lillestrom
Sunday, July 17 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Sunday, July 17 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Molde | 15 | 16 | 33 |
| 2 | Lillestrom | 15 | 15 | 33 |
| 3 | Viking FK | 16 | 9 | 28 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for SJK had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest SJK win was 1-0 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lillestrom in this match.
| Result | ||
| SJK | Draw | Lillestrom |
| 32.51% | 26.01% | 41.48% |
| Both teams to score 53.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.17% | 50.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.29% | 72.71% |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.59% | 29.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.6% | 65.4% |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.75% | 24.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.39% | 58.6% |
| Score Analysis |
SJK 32.51%
Lillestrom 41.47%
Draw 26.01%
| SJK | Draw | Lillestrom |
| 1-0 @ 8.73% 2-1 @ 7.57% 2-0 @ 5.34% 3-1 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 2.19% 3-0 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.48% Total : 32.51% | 1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 7.13% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 8.76% 0-2 @ 7.16% 1-3 @ 4.14% 0-3 @ 3.38% 2-3 @ 2.53% 1-4 @ 1.47% 0-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.74% Total : 41.47% |
