Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Windsor Park
Linfield3 - 2Stjarnan
FT(HT: 1-0)
Atlason (57'), Arni Halldorsson (88')
Thor Ingimarsson (90+4')
Thor Ingimarsson (90+4')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Linfield and Stjarnan.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stjarnan 2-0 Linfield
Thursday, July 11 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 11 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Stjarnan 2-0 Linfield
Thursday, July 11 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 11 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 57.27%. A win for Stjarnan had a probability of 22.26% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.41%) and 3-1 (6.88%). The likeliest Stjarnan win was 1-2 (5.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Linfield | Draw | Stjarnan |
57.27% ( 0.3) | 20.46% ( -0.11) | 22.26% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 64.08% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.95% ( 0.27) | 33.05% ( -0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.22% ( 0.31) | 54.78% ( -0.31) |
Linfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.46% ( 0.17) | 11.54% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.54% ( 0.36) | 36.45% ( -0.36) |
Stjarnan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.44% ( -0.01) | 27.56% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.92% ( -0.01) | 63.07% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Linfield 57.27%
Stjarnan 22.26%
Draw 20.46%
Linfield | Draw | Stjarnan |
2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 57.27% | 1-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.46% | 1-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.59% Total : 22.26% |
How you voted: Linfield vs Stjarnan
Linfield
40.0%Draw
60.0%Stjarnan
0.0%5
Head to Head
Jul 11, 2024 8pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Stjarnan
2-0
Linfield
Atlason (22', 60')
Mar Kjartansson (25')
Mar Kjartansson (25')
Whiteside (20')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-11-21 12:01:45
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arsenal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Fulham | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
11 | Brentford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 16 |
12 | Bournemouth | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 6 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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