MX23RW : Monday, December 23 04:24:43| >> :600:222495:222495:
Newtown logo
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 28, 2022 at 6pm UK
Park Hall Stadium

Newtown
1 - 2
Spartak Trnava

Williams (35' pen.)
Walker (3'), Ismail (10'), Sutton (38'), Wharton (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Stefanik (73'), Bukata (79')
Dyjan (11'), Kozak (71'), Bukata (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Newtown AFC and Spartak Trnava, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spartak Trnava 4-1 Newtown
Thursday, July 21 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Newtown AFC 0-2 Spartak Trnava

There is a significant chasm between these two clubs and the Slovakians should have far too much for their opponents once more. With the Welsh side having to go for it, the goal threat of Yusuf and Ivan could prove too much for them to handle with there likely to be plenty of open spaces for the duo to exploit in transition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Spartak Trnava had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.01%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Spartak Trnava win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Spartak Trnava would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawSpartak Trnava
42.87% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 23.34% (0.0039999999999978 0) 33.78% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 63.29% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.77% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)38.22% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.5% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)60.5% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.74%18.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.7% (0.0010000000000048 0)49.29% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Spartak Trnava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.41% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)22.58% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.81% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)56.18% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 42.87%
    Spartak Trnava 33.78%
    Draw 23.33%
Newtown AFCDrawSpartak Trnava
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.01% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.96% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.03% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 3.74% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 3.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 42.87%
1-1 @ 10.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.12% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.86% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.33%
1-2 @ 7.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.56% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 3.85% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 33.78%

How you voted: Newtown vs Spartak Trnava

Newtown AFC
27.8%
Draw
16.7%
Spartak Trnava
55.6%
18
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2022 7.30pm
Spartak Trnava
4-1
Newtown
Yusuf (17', 41', 44'), Ivan (75')
Stetina (90+1')
Cowans (23')
Jones (35'), Walker (76')
rhs 2.0
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