Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 21, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Štadión Antona Malatinského
Spartak Trnava4 - 1Newtown
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Spartak Trnava and Newtown AFC.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-0 Spartak Trnava
Thursday, August 12 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 12 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Newtown 2-1 Torshavn (3-2 pen.)
Thursday, July 14 at 6.15pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 14 at 6.15pm in Europa Conference League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Haverfordwest County | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Newtown AFC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Pen-y-Bont | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Trnava win with a probability of 48.89%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 27.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Trnava win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Trnava would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Trnava | Draw | Newtown AFC |
| 48.89% | 23.74% | 27.37% |
| Both teams to score 58.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
