Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 3, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stadionul Municipal
Sepsi4 - 0CSKA Sofia
Matei (19' pen.), Aganovic (70'), Varga (90'), Alimi (90+5' pen.)
Dumitrescu (11'), Stefanescu (18'), Safranko (62')
Dumitrescu (11'), Stefanescu (18'), Safranko (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Phaeton (14'), Nazon (18'), Mahmutovic (43'), Turitsov (64'), Shaghoyan (80'), Shopov (84'), Jr Carreazo Betin (90+3')
Jr Carreazo Betin (90+7')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Sepsi and CSKA Sofia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dinamo Bucharest 0-3 Sepsi
Monday, July 31 at 7.30pm in Romanian SuperLiga
Monday, July 31 at 7.30pm in Romanian SuperLiga
Last Game: CSKA Sofia 0-2 Sepsi
Thursday, July 27 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 27 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Sofia win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Sepsi had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Sofia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Sepsi win was 1-0 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sepsi | Draw | CSKA Sofia |
33.83% ( 0.01) | 28.65% ( 0) | 37.52% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 45.76% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.31% ( -0.01) | 60.69% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.24% ( -0) | 80.76% ( 0.01) |
Sepsi Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.46% ( 0) | 33.54% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.82% ( 0.01) | 70.18% ( -0) |
CSKA Sofia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.86% ( -0.01) | 31.14% ( 0.01) |