We said: Shamrock Rovers 0-2 Gent
Shamrock are out of the competition with two games to go but a brilliant domestic home record suggests Gent will not have it all their own way on Thursday night.
However, the reverse fixture in Belgium earlier in the group stage put on display the gulf in quality between the two teams, something that should shine through once again in a must-win game for the visitors.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 49.78%. A win for Gent had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Gent win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.