MX23RW : Saturday, November 2 10:37:06| >> :600:690031:690031:
Shelbourne
Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Tolka Park

Shelbourne
2 - 1
St Joseph's

Coyle (1'), Jarvis (58' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Paul (40')
Rodriguez Moreno (45+1')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Shelbourne and St Joseph's.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Drogheda 1-1 Shelbourne
Thursday, July 4 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Slavia Prague 7-0 St Joseph's
Thursday, July 28 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Derry401.60Hoban
2Waterford331.43Amond
3Shamrock311.35Kenny
4Shelbourne281.17Jarvis
5Sligo251.09Chapman
6St Patrick's240.96Keating
7Bohemians221.05Akintunde
8Drogheda220.96Pierrot
9Galway United180.82Walsh
10Dundalk130.57Gullan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 50.46%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for St Joseph's had a probability of 24.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a St Joseph's win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shelbourne would win this match.

Result
ShelbourneDrawSt Joseph's
50.46% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 25.03% (0.0019999999999989 0) 24.51% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.27% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.79% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)51.21% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.95% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)73.05% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Shelbourne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.7% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)20.3% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.33%52.67% (0.0039999999999978 0)
St Joseph's Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.32% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)35.67% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.55% (-0.067 -0.07)72.44% (0.072999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Shelbourne 50.46%
    St Joseph's 24.51%
    Draw 25.02%
ShelbourneDrawSt Joseph's
1-0 @ 11.54% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.21% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.04%
3-0 @ 4.89% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.01%
4-0 @ 1.95% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 50.46%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 7.24% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.02%
0-1 @ 7.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 6.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.85% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 24.51%

rhs 2.0
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2Liverpool97111751222
3Arsenal95311710718
4Aston Villa95311611518
5Chelsea95221911817
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton94411612416
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest9441117416
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
9Brentford94141818013
10Fulham93331212012
11Bournemouth93331111012
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle9333910-112
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham93241316-311
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
15Leicester CityLeicester92341317-49
16Everton92341016-69
17Crystal Palace9135611-56
18Ipswich TownIpswich9045920-114
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves90271225-132
20Southampton9018619-131


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