MX23RW : Monday, December 23 00:50:20| >> :600:209633:209633:
Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 13, 2023 at 7pm UK
Rheinpark Stadion

Vaduz
1 - 2
Neman

Cavegn (22')
Isik (10')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zubovich (29'), Sukurov (82')
Evdokimov (41'), Sadovnichiy (47'), Pantya (90+1')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Vaduz and Neman.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Apollon Limassol 1-0 Vaduz
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Basel0nan
2Winterthur0nan
3FC Zurich0nan
4Grasshopper0nan
5Lausanne0nan
6Lugano0nan
7Luzern0nan
8Servette0nan
9St Gallen0nan
10Stade Lausanne-Ouchy0nan
11Young Boys0nan
12Yverdon Sport0nan
Last Game: Naftan 0-3 Neman
Friday, July 7 at 4.30pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Vaduz had a probability of 35.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Vaduz win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Neman in this match.

Result
VaduzDrawNeman
35.84% (0.237 0.24) 24.85% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 39.3% (-0.201 -0.2)
Both teams to score 58.2% (0.174 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.94% (0.212 0.21)45.05% (-0.216 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.59% (0.203 0.2)67.4% (-0.20699999999999 -0.21)
Vaduz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.38% (0.229 0.23)24.62% (-0.233 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.87% (0.32400000000001 0.32)59.13% (-0.327 -0.33)
Neman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.2% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)22.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.5% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)56.5% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    Vaduz 35.84%
    Neman 39.3%
    Draw 24.85%
VaduzDrawNeman
2-1 @ 8.15% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.87% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.51% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.81% (0.041 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.58% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.9% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 35.84%
1-1 @ 11.63% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.03% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.61% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.85%
1-2 @ 8.6% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.3% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.14% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.02% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.97% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.12% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 39.3%

rhs 2.0
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2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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