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Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Conference League | Group Stage
Nov 3, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Tsirion Stadium

Apollon Limassol
1 - 0
Vaduz

Roberge (31')
Aleesami (88'), Coll (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fosso (23'), Omerovic (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Apollon Limassol and Vaduz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Apollon Limassol

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Dnipro-1 1-0 Apollon Limassol
Thursday, October 27 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Vaduz

All competitions
Last Game: Vaduz 1-2 AZ
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Young Boys322.29Nsame
2Grasshopper261.86Kawabe
3St Gallen241.71Akolo
4Luzern231.77Meyer
5Lugano211.50Celar
6Sion201.43Stojilkovic
7Basel191.46Burger
8Servette181.29Fofana
9Winterthur110.79Buess
10FC Zurich90.64Okita

We said: Apollon Limassol 2-1 Vaduz

 Despite being the weakest team in the group based on domestic league rankings, Vaduz have caused problems for every team they have played in the Conference League so far this year. Limassol will be keen to finish the group stage in third place, and in front of their home faithful, we can see them narrowly achieving that on Thursday evening with a victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Apollon Limassol win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Vaduz had a probability of 36.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Apollon Limassol win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Vaduz win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Apollon Limassol would win this match.

Result
Apollon LimassolDrawVaduz
38.6% (0.081999999999994 0.08) 24.56% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02) 36.84% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Both teams to score 59.35% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.4% (0.089999999999996 0.09)43.6% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.01% (0.090000000000003 0.09)65.99% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Apollon Limassol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.5% (0.081000000000003 0.08)22.5% (-0.084 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.94% (0.123 0.12)56.06% (-0.127 -0.13)
Vaduz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)23.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)57.41% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Apollon Limassol 38.6%
    Vaduz 36.84%
    Draw 24.55%
Apollon LimassolDrawVaduz
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.86% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.23% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.91% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 38.6%
1-1 @ 11.4% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.18% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.27% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.49% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.55%
1-2 @ 8.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.65% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.99% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 36.84%

How you voted: Apollon Limassol vs Vaduz

Apollon Limassol
78.6%
Draw
10.7%
Vaduz
10.7%
28
Head to Head
Sep 8, 2022 8pm
Group E
Vaduz
0-0
Apollon Limassol

Sutter (28')
rhs 2.0
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