MX23RW : Sunday, February 2 12:11:22| >> :120:32940:32940:
AZ Alkmaar
Europa League | League Stage
Nov 7, 2024 at 8pm UK
AFAS Stadion

AZ
3 - 1
Fenerbahce

Daal (59'), Smit (75'), Kasius (87')
Kwakman (51'), Daal (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
En-Nesyri (70')
Saint-Maximin (49'), Yuksek (54'), Becao (63'), Fred (84'), Osayi-Samuel (86'), Dzeko (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between AZ Alkmaar and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 3-2 AZ
Saturday, November 2 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Trabzonspor 2-3 Fenerbahce
Sunday, November 3 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: AZ Alkmaar 1-2 Fenerbahce

These two teams enter Thursday's match in contrasting form and the momentum is certainly with Fenerbahce, who will be regarded as favourites to come out on top in this one. Although AZ will back themselves to score for the 13th successive home match, Mourinho is expected to field a strong side and we can see the Yellow Canaries outscoring their Dutch opponents at AFAS Stadion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Fenerbahce had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Fenerbahce win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawFenerbahce
39.4% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07) 25.81% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 34.78% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 54.69% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.49% (0.023000000000003 0.02)49.5% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.46% (0.021000000000001 0.02)71.53% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.27% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)24.73% (0.028000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.72% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)59.28% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.66% (0.056000000000012 0.06)27.33% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.21% (0.071000000000005 0.07)62.78% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 39.4%
    Fenerbahce 34.78%
    Draw 25.8%
AZ AlkmaarDrawFenerbahce
1-0 @ 9.44% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.6% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.99% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.07% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 39.4%
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 8.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.94% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.69% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.44% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.46% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 34.78%

How you voted: AZ vs Fenerbahce

AZ Alkmaar
20.7%
Draw
11.4%
Fenerbahce
67.9%
140
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool23175156213556
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2481063538-334
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Everton236892328-526
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!