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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 9
Oct 20, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadyum Samsun

Samsunspor
2 - 2
Fenerbahce

Holse (48'), Aydogdu (88')
Reis (10'), Satka (13'), Becao (52'), Kilinc (55'), Bola (57'), Djiku (90+5'), Mouandilmadji (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tadic (24'), Saint-Maximin (62')
Kostic (9'), Ntcham (14'), Fred (40'), Ait Bennasser (76'), Kahveci (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Samsunspor and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Adana Demirspor 1-3 Samsunspor
Sunday, October 6 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Samsunspor 1-1 Fenerbahce

Both teams are entering this game with a point to prove, while also hoping to avoid a wider points gap between them and the league leaders. With this in mind, both teams might adopt a cautious approach, and this is why we are predicting that the game will end in a draw, though we expect goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 55.34%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Samsunspor had a probability of 20.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.59%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Samsunspor win it was 1-0 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SamsunsporDrawFenerbahce
20.37% (0.529 0.53) 24.28% (0.052 0.05) 55.34% (-0.583 -0.58)
Both teams to score 48.4% (0.623 0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.57% (0.421 0.42)52.43% (-0.424 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.89% (0.36 0.36)74.11% (-0.363 -0.36)
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.63% (0.813 0.81)40.36% (-0.816 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.02% (0.729 0.73)76.98% (-0.733 -0.73)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.16% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)18.84% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.72% (-0.105 -0.11)50.28% (0.102 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Samsunspor 20.37%
    Fenerbahce 55.34%
    Draw 24.28%
SamsunsporDrawFenerbahce
1-0 @ 6.9% (0.038 0.04)
2-1 @ 5.22% (0.134 0.13)
2-0 @ 3.13% (0.086 0.09)
3-1 @ 1.58% (0.075 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.32% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 0.95% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 20.37%
1-1 @ 11.51% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.6% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 24.28%
0-1 @ 12.69% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-2 @ 10.59% (-0.22 -0.22)
1-2 @ 9.61% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 5.9% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-3 @ 5.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-4 @ 2.46% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.053 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 55.34%

How you voted: Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce

Samsunspor
11.8%
Draw
17.6%
Fenerbahce
70.6%
34
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 21
Fenerbahce
1-1
Samsunspor
Kahveci (12')
Muldur (52')
Kilinc (62')
Mouandilmadji (20'), Kocuk (84'), Holse (90+5')
Aug 21, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 2
Samsunspor
0-2
Fenerbahce

van Drongelen (90+7')
Dzeko (62'), Szymanski (90+8')
Muldur (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray16142047192844
2Fenerbahce16113240152536
3Samsunspor1693429171230
4Goztepe SKGoztepe SK1684431211028
5EyupsporEyupspor177642518727
6BesiktasBesiktas167542518726
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul166552723423
8GaziantepGaziantep166372224-221
9AntalyasporAntalyaspor166372028-821
10KasimpasaKasimpasa164842223-120
11KonyasporKonyaspor165561823-520
12Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor166281625-920
13TrabzonsporTrabzonspor164752422219
14SivassporSivasspor175482027-719
15AlanyasporAlanyaspor164661619-318
16KayserisporKayserispor163671632-1615
17Bodrumspor1642101222-1014
18Hatayspor161691427-139
19Adana Demirspor1622121536-215


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