Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 24, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Maksimir
Dinamo Zagreb3 - 1Sparta Prague
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AEK Athens 2-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Saturday, August 19 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Saturday, August 19 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Teplice 1-1 Sparta Prague
Saturday, August 19 at 5pm in Czech Liga
Saturday, August 19 at 5pm in Czech Liga
We said: Dinamo Zagreb 1-1 Sparta Prague
Jakirovic is tasked with making an immediate impact in charge of Dinamo Zagreb, who will be looking to put aside their Champions League qualification exit with a positive result at home against Sparta Prague. There has been little to separate these two teams in previous meetings and another closely-fought contest could be on the cards on Thursday, which could result in a share of the spoils to keep the tie nicely poised ahead of next week's second leg. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Sparta Prague win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | Sparta Prague |
38.12% ( -0.02) | 26.62% ( 0) | 35.25% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.09% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
