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Champions League
Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 15, 2023 at 6pm UK
Epet Arena
FC Copenhagen

Sparta Prague
3 - 3
Copenhagen

Birmancevic (80'), Laci (105'), Olatunji (107')
Wiesner (48'), Birmancevic (54'), Sorensen (68')
FT
(aet)
Larsson (1'), Claesson (105+3', 112')
Falk (36'), Elyounoussi (42'), Achouri (114')
Copenhagen win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Sparta Prague and Copenhagen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Prague

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Jablonec 1-5 Sparta Prague
Saturday, August 12 at 5pm in Czech Liga

Copenhagen

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Copenhagen 2-1 Odense
Friday, August 11 at 6pm in Danish Superliga

We say: Sparta Prague 1-1 Copenhagen (a.e.t, Sparta to win on penalties)

 Sparta's dogged defensive display in the first leg was all well and good, but the Czech champions will likely have to show more attacking intent if they are to keep their European dream alive, which could leave them susceptible to a goal-happy Copenhagen. While we feel that there will be a couple of goals in this contest, it is still too difficult to pick an outright winner, but with the Prague crowd behind them, Sparta can progress from 12 yards to move one step closer to the group phase. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Copenhagen had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Copenhagen win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%).

Result
Sparta PragueDrawCopenhagen
39.8% (0.268 0.27) 24.89% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 35.31% (-0.347 -0.35)
Both teams to score 57.97% (-0.335 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.68% (-0.41 -0.41)45.31% (0.408 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.34% (-0.395 -0.39)67.65% (0.39200000000001 0.39)
Sparta Prague Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.34% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)22.66% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.7% (-0.07 -0.07)56.3% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Copenhagen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95% (-0.387 -0.39)25.05% (0.385 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.28% (-0.538 -0.54)59.72% (0.536 0.54)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Prague 39.8%
    Copenhagen 35.31%
    Draw 24.89%
Sparta PragueDrawCopenhagen
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.43% (0.135 0.14)
2-0 @ 6.25% (0.092 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.1% (0.041 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 39.8%
1-1 @ 11.66% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.68% (0.099 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.89%
1-2 @ 8.08% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
0-1 @ 7.86% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.44% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.73% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.77% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.51% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 35.31%

How you voted: Sparta Prague vs Copenhagen

Sparta Prague
44.7%
Draw
30.3%
Copenhagen
25.0%
76
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2023 7pm
Third Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Copenhagen
0-0
Sparta Prague
Falk (28'), Vavro (87'), Lerager (89'), Jelert (90+5')
Kuchta (38'), Zeleny (78'), Krejci (87')
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